BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Abilene Christian

Class: 1B Class Rank: 84 Conference: Southland Conference Record: (2-7) Overall: (2-9) Overall Strength =  100.29

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/03/2016 Away    L   123.66  21  37   1A  61 ( 10-  3) Air Force              21.24 *  -37.24                      
  2 09/10/2016 Home    L   109.47  52  55   1B  44 (  6-  5) Northern Colorado       7.05    -10.05                      
  3 09/17/2016 Away    L *  96.94  24  27   1B  92 (  4-  7) Houston Baptist        -5.48      2.48                      
  4 09/24/2016 Away    L *  95.95  30  41   1B  71 (  5-  6) Stephen F. Austin      -6.47     -4.53                      
  5 10/01/2016 Home    L *  95.40  27  58   1B  14 ( 10-  3) Central Arkansas       -7.02    -23.98                      
  6 10/08/2016 Home    L *  76.39  10  38   1B  73 (  3-  8) Lamar                 -26.03     -1.97                      
  7 10/15/2016 Away    L * 103.49  21  48   1B  11 ( 12-  1) Sam Houston St          1.08    -28.08                      
  8 10/22/2016 Home    W * 120.97  52  27   1B  93 (  3-  8) Incarnate Word         18.55      6.45                      
  9 10/29/2016 Away    L *  99.87  14  33   1B  36 (  6-  5) McNeese St             -2.55    -16.45                      
 10 11/05/2016 Home    W * 102.07  25  22   1B  85 (  1- 10) Northwestern St        -0.35      3.35                      
 11 11/12/2016 Away    L * 102.38  19  31   1B  49 (  7-  4) SE Louisiana           -0.03    -11.97                      
      Averages             102.42  26.8 37.9

Best game:  123.66 = 16 point loss to Air Force
Worst game:  76.39 = 28 point loss to Lamar
Team stdev:  12.85